The general elections scheduled for November 30, 2025, in Honduras are taking place under the watchful eye of Venezuela, whose influence is felt both in the political arena and in the operation of the electoral process. The relationship between the LIBRE party and the government of Nicolás Maduro, and the involvement of the company Smartmatic in the electoral technology, have raised concerns in various sectors about the transparency and legitimacy of the elections.
Ideological links between LIBRE and Chavismo
The LIBRE party, backing Rixi Moncada’s presidential bid, shares a political and ideological affinity with Venezuelan Chavismo. Experts highlight that this closeness goes beyond mere ideological agreement, as it manifests in political approaches influenced by Venezuela, such as institutional dominance and power consolidation. This framework is raising alarm among social and political groups worried about the potential adoption of authoritarian methods in Honduras.
Smartmatic and electoral technology
The hiring of Smartmatic as the provider of biometric technology for the electoral process has been the subject of debate. The company faced questions in Venezuela over irregularities in the transmission and counting of votes during elections previously noted for their lack of transparency. Its participation in Honduras raises concerns about possible failures that could affect public confidence in the preliminary results and in the electoral system in general.
Internal polarization and risks of conflict
The domestic political environment shows significant polarization, with groups split between advocating for the continuation of the LIBRE initiative and those worried about the weakening of democratic structures. This split elevates the likelihood of tensions after the election, large-scale protests, and instances of unrest if the outcomes are viewed as tampered with. The involvement of security forces and the influence over electoral entities are elements that exacerbate doubts regarding the progression of the process.
Effects on geopolitical and regional dynamics
Venezuela’s influence in Honduras also has a regional component. The consolidation of Maduro’s government strengthens allied leftist governments in Latin America, including Honduras, while changes in Venezuela could weaken this political trend. In this sense, the Honduran elections are part of a broader scenario, where the results in Tegucigalpa have repercussions on the political orientation of the region.
Forecast for November 30
The intersection of ideological connections to Chavismo, the involvement of Smartmatic, and internal division positions Venezuela as an indirect yet significant player in the Honduran electoral context. The key issues revolve around ensuring transparency and legitimacy during the elections, alongside addressing potential social tensions due to perceived manipulation. As the election day nears, Honduras faces the challenge of preserving both institutional integrity and public trust in a situation characterized by regional observation and scrutiny from international participants.
_-_copia.jpg?w=360&resize=360,240&ssl=1 "LIBRE's")
_-_copia.jpg?w=360&resize=360,240&ssl=1 "Alarm grows in Honduras")
_-_copia.jpg?w=360&resize=360,240&ssl=1 "Roger Stone")
_-_copia.jpg?w=360&resize=360,240&ssl=1 "Rixi Moncada")